WaterloggedRiver Cruise Watch

The river's logbook for cruise travellers

See the map Daily sailing schedule 14-day weather forecast

Your sailing

An Emerald Star-Ship · Christmas Markets on the Rhine

Emerald Cruises · departs Wednesday 25 November 2026 · Zurich → Amsterdam · 8 days

Change sailing
Register for the Daily River Log Watch for this sailing

Emerald Cruises has not published which ship sails this departure. Every water level below is measured against a line we work out for the ship class named above, using its design How deep a ship sits in the water. That depth sets how much water it needs underneath. of 1.60 m. That is our own assumption, not a figure from the cruise line. If Emerald Cruises names a ship that sits deeper in the water, its line would be higher than the one drawn here.

Latest readings: Monday 5 October 2026. Water levels change daily. Check again closer to your departure.

The Daily River Watch

Monday 5 October 2026

River levels this morning — not the levels expected on your sailing dates

Rain check: about 35 mm of rain is forecast above Cologne over fourteen days. Kaub gets almost none. The forecast reaches 18 October. It does not change any status on this page.

What the statuses mean — each one is measured against the level we estimate a ship of this class needs

  • ▼ Far below the line The measured level is under half of Waterlogged's reference line for a ship of this class.
  • ▼ Below the line The measured level is below Waterlogged's reference line for a ship of this class. It is not yet under half that level.
  • ✓ Above the line The measured level is at or above Waterlogged's reference line for a ship of this class.
  • ⚓ Lock-controlled Locks hold the level on this stretch, so low water rarely stops a ship here. High water, maintenance, closures, restrictions on the locks and the cruise line's own decision can still affect a day.
  • — No line published The reading is real. Nobody publishes a level for this stretch to measure it against.
    — No reading yet We include this location on your daily schedule but there is no data available.
  • — No gauge on this stretch We watch no gauge on this stretch of river. There is no reading for the day and no line to measure one against. We are not telling you the water is fine, and we are not telling you anything holds it at a working level — those are things we have not established here.
  • ⚑ In port The ship is in port on this day. Our record holds no river transit for it, so there is no stretch of river to read. That is what we hold, not a claim about where the ship goes.
  • ⌂ Not sailing The ship does not sail on this day. Your itinerary spends it on land, so there is no river level to read and no low-water question to answer.

A gauge level is not the depth of the navigable channel, not the room under your ship's keel, and not your ship's draft. The rain forecast further down uses one more status of its own, temporarily unavailable, when that feed is missing or out of date.

The official forward outlook

Waterlogged does not provide its own independent future river depth forecast. We show today's gauge reading and compare them with our own reference lines and other historic data. Where Waterlogged has received licenses, it includes river forecasts and clearly identifies the sources where they are from. Waterlogged provides direct links to the gauge forecasts from national providers. BfG has given us permission to show their six week forecasts.

Your daily sailing schedule

Below are the ports you travel to and the depth of the water, as of today's date, and how much water is needed for your ship to sail. A graph shows the median or normal river depth.

Two words will help. A A riverside station that measures the water level in centimetres against a fixed zero point. is a riverside station that measures water level. Your ship's How deep a ship sits in the water. That depth sets how much water it needs underneath. is how deep it sits in the water. This affects how much water it needs below the hull.

Day1

Zurich - Basel

Wednesday 25 November

In port

The ship is in port on this day. Our record holds no river transit for it, so there is no stretch of river to read.

The ship is in port on this day.

Full details

Our record holds no river transit for this day, so there is no stretch of river being read for it and no water level that applies to it.

Where the ship isin port
River transit on recordnone for this day
Level readingnone applies — no stretch of river is being read

This says what our record holds, not what the ship does. We are not telling you it stays alongside, and we have not worked out whether locks hold any water near this city, so we do not say either. On the days this route is on the river, the readings above and below say so.

Day2

Breisach

Thursday 26 November · Germany

No line published

This is a real reading. There is nothing published to measure it against.

Scale 0–400 cm

285 cm
measured

Nobody publishes a target level for this stretch, so there is nothing to measure the reading against. We show the reading and the direction, and nothing more.

Water level now (5 October) 285 cm

Falling — the river level fell 2 cm in the last three days.

Water levels are measured at the Maxau gauge – German federal waterways gauge service (PEGELONLINE).
No official data — the reading is official; there is simply nothing published to compare it against.

We do not draw a measured history graph for this gauge. The reading above is current and official; the archive the graph would be drawn from is not ours to republish.

The official forecast for this gauge

BfG publishes no 14-day forecast for this gauge.

BfG's 6-week outlook for Maxau BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01
BfG's 6-week outlook for Maxau

Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG). BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01.

Each line is one whole week, which is how BfG publishes this product. It gives no figure for any single day, and neither do we.

BfG's own weekly figures for Maxau, in cm at the gauge.
WeekLowerMiddleUpper
1–7 October281294308
8–14 October295339387
15–21 October278338408
22–28 October279358461
29 Oct–4 Nov280369494
5–11 November278374513

The three columns are BfG's own 5th, 50th and 95th percentiles from their weather-driven runs, in centimetres at the gauge.

BfG's own file for Maxau (opens in a new tab)

Forecast water levels are from BfG. Waterlogged only reports historical and current data.

Every figure above is a water level at the gauge, in centimetres. It is not the depth of water under a ship and it is not a ship's draft.

Day3

Kehl - Strasbourg

Friday 27 November · Switzerland

No line published

This is a real reading. There is nothing published to measure it against.

Scale 0–400 cm

285 cm
measured

Nobody publishes a target level for this stretch, so there is nothing to measure the reading against. We show the reading and the direction, and nothing more.

Water level now (5 October) 285 cm

Falling — the river level fell 2 cm in the last three days.

Water levels are measured at the Maxau gauge – German federal waterways gauge service (PEGELONLINE).
No official data — the reading is official; there is simply nothing published to compare it against.

We do not draw a measured history graph for this gauge. The reading above is current and official; the archive the graph would be drawn from is not ours to republish.

The official forecast for this gauge

BfG publishes no 14-day forecast for this gauge.

BfG's 6-week outlook for Maxau BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01
BfG's 6-week outlook for Maxau

Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG). BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01.

Each line is one whole week, which is how BfG publishes this product. It gives no figure for any single day, and neither do we.

BfG's own weekly figures for Maxau, in cm at the gauge.
WeekLowerMiddleUpper
1–7 October281294308
8–14 October295339387
15–21 October278338408
22–28 October279358461
29 Oct–4 Nov280369494
5–11 November278374513

The three columns are BfG's own 5th, 50th and 95th percentiles from their weather-driven runs, in centimetres at the gauge.

BfG's own file for Maxau (opens in a new tab)

Forecast water levels are from BfG. Waterlogged only reports historical and current data.

Every figure above is a water level at the gauge, in centimetres. It is not the depth of water under a ship and it is not a ship's draft.

Day4

Mannheim

Saturday 28 November · Germany

No line published

This is a real reading. There is nothing published to measure it against.

Scale 0–400 cm

285 cm
measured

Nobody publishes a target level for this stretch, so there is nothing to measure the reading against. We show the reading and the direction, and nothing more.

Water level now (5 October) 285 cm

Falling — the river level fell 2 cm in the last three days.

Water levels are measured at the Maxau gauge – German federal waterways gauge service (PEGELONLINE).
No official data — the reading is official; there is simply nothing published to compare it against.

We do not draw a measured history graph for this gauge. The reading above is current and official; the archive the graph would be drawn from is not ours to republish.

The official forecast for this gauge

BfG publishes no 14-day forecast for this gauge.

BfG's 6-week outlook for Maxau BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01
BfG's 6-week outlook for Maxau

Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG). BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01.

Each line is one whole week, which is how BfG publishes this product. It gives no figure for any single day, and neither do we.

BfG's own weekly figures for Maxau, in cm at the gauge.
WeekLowerMiddleUpper
1–7 October281294308
8–14 October295339387
15–21 October278338408
22–28 October279358461
29 Oct–4 Nov280369494
5–11 November278374513

The three columns are BfG's own 5th, 50th and 95th percentiles from their weather-driven runs, in centimetres at the gauge.

BfG's own file for Maxau (opens in a new tab)

Forecast water levels are from BfG. Waterlogged only reports historical and current data.

Every figure above is a water level at the gauge, in centimetres. It is not the depth of water under a ship and it is not a ship's draft.

Day5

Koblenz

Sunday 29 November · Germany

Far below the line

The measured level is under half of Waterlogged's reference line for a ship of this class.

Scale 0–200 cm

87 cm below Waterlogged’s reference line

That is how far today's measured level sits below the line we estimate a ship of this class needs. The level it is measured against is our own estimate, not a figure from the cruise line.

Water level now (5 October) 6 cm
How we calculate ship needWaterlogged estimates that a river needs to be 2.05m in depth to be navigable by river cruises. A river cruise ship has a draft of approximately 1.60m and we add an additional 0.45m above this. This number is not from official cruise line reports. Ships with smaller drafts or special permission may be able to sail in less water. The figure on the page beside this note is a gauge level, and a gauge level is the height of the water at one measuring station, read from that station's own zero. It is not the depth of the navigable channel, it is not the room left under a ship's keel, and it is not a ship's draft. Our line is a level we compare today's reading with. It is not a depth anybody has measured under your ship. 93 cm
Normal for 29 November (median for 2015–2026) 163 cm

Rising — the river level rose 6 cm in the last three days.

On the record: For 2015–2025, we checked the eleven days around this date. Kaub’s lowest daily average was 28 cm, in 2018. Today’s reading is 6. That is below every one of the 121 readings in that window.

Water levels are measured at the Kaub gauge – German federal waterways gauge service (PEGELONLINE).

YOUR CRUISETODAY2500WLSNWLSN1 Sep1 Oct1 Nov1 Dec
  • Current level
  • Past average for this date
  • WLSN — How we calculate ship needWaterlogged estimates that a river needs to be 2.05m in depth to be navigable by river cruises. A river cruise ship has a draft of approximately 1.60m and we add an additional 0.45m above this. This number is not from official cruise line reports. Ships with smaller drafts or special permission may be able to sail in less water. The figure on the page beside this note is a gauge level, and a gauge level is the height of the water at one measuring station, read from that station's own zero. It is not the depth of the navigable channel, it is not the room left under a ship's keel, and it is not a ship's draft. Our line is a level we compare today's reading with. It is not a depth anybody has measured under your ship. (93 cm)
  • Measured level below that line
  • BfG’s own 14-day forecast: their low-to-high range and middle line · on 1 day the bottom of the range falls below 0 cm, the foot of this frame · BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-04 GMT+1 · Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG)
  • BfG’s own 6-week outlook: one block for each whole published week · the bottoms of 4 weeks' ranges fall below 0 cm, the foot of this frame · BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01 · Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG)

Current and normal water levels. The solid blue line shows the current measured water level. The dashed grey line is the historic average of the water level from August 27th until December 30th. The bold dashed line labelled WLSN is the water level a ship of this class needs — Waterlogged's reference line for a ship of this class: 93 cm. It is a gauge level, not a depth under the hull. Today's water sits 119 cm below the normal water level for this date. During your shaded cruise dates the normal water level is 155 cm on 25 November and 165 cm on 2 December. The water level at this location historically keeps rising over the next three months.

The official forecast for this gauge

BfG's 14-day water-level forecast for Kaub BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-04 GMT+1
BfG's 14-day water-level forecast for Kaub

Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG). BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-04 GMT+1.

130-10Mon 5 OctSat 17 Oct
BfG's own daily figures for Kaub, in cm at the gauge.
DayLowerMiddleUpper
Mon 5 Oct91113
Tue 6 Oct369
Wed 7 Oct0510
Thu 8 Oct-2411
Fri 9 Oct11124
Sat 10 Oct72343
Sun 11 Oct194578
Mon 12 Oct2458104
Tue 13 Oct2360112
Wed 14 Oct2664117
Thu 15 Oct2664116
Fri 16 Oct2563117
Sat 17 Oct2162125

BfG publishes a low and a high figure for every day, not one certain number. Read the whole range.

The three columns are BfG's own 10th, 50th and 90th percentiles, in centimetres at the gauge. Nothing between them is filled in by us.

BfG does not publish values above 640 centimetres. Where a figure would be higher, their file says so and this table reads "above 640".

BfG's own file for Kaub (opens in a new tab)

BfG's 6-week outlook for Kaub BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01
BfG's 6-week outlook for Kaub

Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG). BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01.

Each line is one whole week, which is how BfG publishes this product. It gives no figure for any single day, and neither do we.

BfG's own weekly figures for Kaub, in cm at the gauge.
WeekLowerMiddleUpper
1–7 October-3311
8–14 October63265
15–21 October-53898
22–28 October-947130
29 Oct–4 Nov-1152152
5–11 November-1554171

The three columns are BfG's own 5th, 50th and 95th percentiles from their weather-driven runs, in centimetres at the gauge.

BfG's own file for Kaub (opens in a new tab)

Forecast water levels are from BfG. Waterlogged only reports historical and current data.

Every figure above is a water level at the gauge, in centimetres. It is not the depth of water under a ship and it is not a ship's draft.

Day6

Cologne - Duesseldorf

Monday 30 November · Germany

Far below the line

The measured level is under half of Waterlogged's reference line for a ship of this class.

Scale 0–300 cm

89 cm below Waterlogged’s reference line

That is how far today's measured level sits below the line we estimate a ship of this class needs. The level it is measured against is our own estimate, not a figure from the cruise line.

Water level now (5 October) 50 cm
Published An authority's published low-level mark for a stretch. It is not a requirement for your ship. for this stretch 139 cm
Normal for 30 November (median for 2015–2026) 260 cm

Rising — the river level rose 4 cm in the last three days.

On the record: For 2015–2025, we checked the eleven days around this date. Koeln’s lowest daily average was 77 cm, in 2018. Today’s reading is 50. That is below every one of the 121 readings in that window.

Water levels are measured at the Köln gauge – German federal waterways gauge service (PEGELONLINE).
Published low-water reference — the waterway authority's own figure for this stretch, not a requirement set by your cruise line.

YOUR CRUISETODAY3500WLSNWLSN1 Sep1 Oct1 Nov1 Dec
  • Current level
  • Past average for this date
  • WLSN — Published An authority's published low-level mark for a stretch. It is not a requirement for your ship. for this stretch (139 cm)
  • Measured level below that line
  • BfG’s own 14-day forecast: their low-to-high range and middle line · BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-04 GMT+1 · Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG)
  • BfG’s own 6-week outlook: one block for each whole published week · the bottoms of 3 weeks' ranges fall below 0 cm, the foot of this frame · BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01 · Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG)

Current and normal water levels. The solid blue line shows the current measured water level. The dashed grey line is the historic average of the water level from August 27th until December 30th. The bold dashed line labelled WLSN is the water level a ship of this class needs — Waterlogged's reference line for a ship of this class: 139 cm. It is a gauge level, not a depth under the hull. Today's water sits 136 cm below the normal water level for this date. During your shaded cruise dates the normal water level is 245 cm on 25 November and 264 cm on 2 December. The water level at this location historically keeps rising over the next three months.

The official forecast for this gauge

BfG's 14-day water-level forecast for Köln BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-04 GMT+1
BfG's 14-day water-level forecast for Köln

Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG). BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-04 GMT+1.

19040Mon 5 OctSat 17 Oct
BfG's own daily figures for Köln, in cm at the gauge.
DayLowerMiddleUpper
Mon 5 Oct505153
Tue 6 Oct495254
Wed 7 Oct454851
Thu 8 Oct444955
Fri 9 Oct516581
Sat 10 Oct577598
Sun 11 Oct6186117
Mon 12 Oct69105153
Tue 13 Oct74115174
Wed 14 Oct76118177
Thu 15 Oct77120181
Fri 16 Oct77119179
Sat 17 Oct73117182

BfG publishes a low and a high figure for every day, not one certain number. Read the whole range.

The three columns are BfG's own 10th, 50th and 90th percentiles, in centimetres at the gauge. Nothing between them is filled in by us.

BfG does not publish values above 830 centimetres. Where a figure would be higher, their file says so and this table reads "above 830".

BfG's own file for Köln (opens in a new tab)

BfG's 6-week outlook for Köln BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01
BfG's 6-week outlook for Köln

Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG). BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01.

Each line is one whole week, which is how BfG publishes this product. It gives no figure for any single day, and neither do we.

BfG's own weekly figures for Köln, in cm at the gauge.
WeekLowerMiddleUpper
1–7 October324557
8–14 October3569104
15–21 October1682152
22–28 October-687189
29 Oct–4 Nov-1389205
5–11 November-1798238

The three columns are BfG's own 5th, 50th and 95th percentiles from their weather-driven runs, in centimetres at the gauge.

BfG's own file for Köln (opens in a new tab)

Forecast water levels are from BfG. Waterlogged only reports historical and current data.

Every figure above is a water level at the gauge, in centimetres. It is not the depth of water under a ship and it is not a ship's draft.

Day7–8

Amsterdam

Tue 1 – Wed 2 December · Netherlands

Far below the line

The measured level is under half of Waterlogged's reference line for a ship of this class.

Scale 0–350 cm

89 cm below Waterlogged’s reference line

That is how far today's measured level sits below the line we estimate a ship of this class needs. The level it is measured against is our own estimate, not a figure from the cruise line.

Water level now (5 October) 50 cm
Published An authority's published low-level mark for a stretch. It is not a requirement for your ship. for this stretch 139 cm
Normal for 1 December (median for 2015–2026) 264 cm

Rising — the river level rose 4 cm in the last three days.

On the record: For 2015–2025, we checked the eleven days around this date. Koeln’s lowest daily average was 77 cm, in 2018. Today’s reading is 50. That is below every one of the 121 readings in that window.

Water levels are measured at the Köln gauge – German federal waterways gauge service (PEGELONLINE).
Published low-water reference — the waterway authority's own figure for this stretch, not a requirement set by your cruise line.

YOUR CRUISETODAY3500WLSNWLSN1 Sep1 Oct1 Nov1 Dec
  • Current level
  • Past average for this date
  • WLSN — Published An authority's published low-level mark for a stretch. It is not a requirement for your ship. for this stretch (139 cm)
  • Measured level below that line
  • BfG’s own 14-day forecast: their low-to-high range and middle line · BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-04 GMT+1 · Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG)
  • BfG’s own 6-week outlook: one block for each whole published week · the bottoms of 3 weeks' ranges fall below 0 cm, the foot of this frame · BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01 · Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG)

Current and normal water levels. The solid blue line shows the current measured water level. The dashed grey line is the historic average of the water level from August 27th until December 30th. The bold dashed line labelled WLSN is the water level a ship of this class needs — Waterlogged's reference line for a ship of this class: 139 cm. It is a gauge level, not a depth under the hull. Today's water sits 136 cm below the normal water level for this date. During your shaded cruise dates the normal water level is 245 cm on 25 November and 264 cm on 2 December. The water level at this location historically keeps rising over the next three months.

The official forecast for this gauge

BfG's 14-day water-level forecast for Köln BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-04 GMT+1
BfG's 14-day water-level forecast for Köln

Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG). BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-04 GMT+1.

19040Mon 5 OctSat 17 Oct
BfG's own daily figures for Köln, in cm at the gauge.
DayLowerMiddleUpper
Mon 5 Oct505153
Tue 6 Oct495254
Wed 7 Oct454851
Thu 8 Oct444955
Fri 9 Oct516581
Sat 10 Oct577598
Sun 11 Oct6186117
Mon 12 Oct69105153
Tue 13 Oct74115174
Wed 14 Oct76118177
Thu 15 Oct77120181
Fri 16 Oct77119179
Sat 17 Oct73117182

BfG publishes a low and a high figure for every day, not one certain number. Read the whole range.

The three columns are BfG's own 10th, 50th and 90th percentiles, in centimetres at the gauge. Nothing between them is filled in by us.

BfG does not publish values above 830 centimetres. Where a figure would be higher, their file says so and this table reads "above 830".

BfG's own file for Köln (opens in a new tab)

BfG's 6-week outlook for Köln BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01
BfG's 6-week outlook for Köln

Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG). BfG issued this forecast: 2026-10-01.

Each line is one whole week, which is how BfG publishes this product. It gives no figure for any single day, and neither do we.

BfG's own weekly figures for Köln, in cm at the gauge.
WeekLowerMiddleUpper
1–7 October324557
8–14 October3569104
15–21 October1682152
22–28 October-687189
29 Oct–4 Nov-1389205
5–11 November-1798238

The three columns are BfG's own 5th, 50th and 95th percentiles from their weather-driven runs, in centimetres at the gauge.

BfG's own file for Köln (opens in a new tab)

Forecast water levels are from BfG. Waterlogged only reports historical and current data.

Every figure above is a water level at the gauge, in centimetres. It is not the depth of water under a ship and it is not a ship's draft.

Rain on your route — calculated daily

Rain forecast by Open-Meteo (commercial licence) · fetched 5 October 2026 at 05:16 UTC · covering 14 days, 5 October to 18 October.

Rain can raise the water level of a river but there is no fixed rule on how much it does. We only report how much the quantity of rainfall has changed the water level before under similar conditions. It is context, not a prediction of a river level.

Licensed rain forecast + what the water level has actually done before

The detailed weather forecast for your route

All rain forecasts use the same scale, 0–12 mm of rain a day, so you can compare them directly. Each column is one day, with its date at the top, then the sky for that day and the daily high in °C.

Rain forecast by Open-Meteo (commercial licence) · fetched 5 October 2026 at 05:16 UTC · covering 14 days, 5 October to 18 October.

Kaub Rhine · Germany

Far below the line

date, sky and daily high °C

5 October18 October

14 days · mm/day upstream of this gauge

≈ 23 mm expected upstream over 14 days

Rain forecast by Open-Meteo (commercial licence) · fetched 5 October 2026 at 05:16 UTC · covering 14 days, 5 October to 18 October.

In past years this much rain, landing on a river already this low, held the level steady for a week or so. It did not close a gap of 87 cm.

This is our reading of the rain forecast, based on what rain has actually done to this river in past years. It is not an official river forecast.

Cologne Rhine · Germany

Far below the line

date, sky and daily high °C

5 October18 October

14 days · mm/day upstream of this gauge

≈ 35 mm expected upstream over 14 days

Rain forecast by Open-Meteo (commercial licence) · fetched 5 October 2026 at 05:16 UTC · covering 14 days, 5 October to 18 October.

In past years this much rain, landing on a river already this low, held the level steady for a week or so. It did not close a gap of 89 cm.

This is our reading of the rain forecast, based on what rain has actually done to this river in past years. It is not an official river forecast.

The rest of your route

That is why none of these has a rain forecast. What is left is the weather for your day in town.

BreisachUpper Rhine · Germany

date, sky and daily high °C

MannheimUpper Rhine · Germany

date, sky and daily high °C

KoblenzMiddle Rhine gorge · Germany

date, sky and daily high °C

AmsterdamLower Rhine · Netherlands

date, sky and daily high °C

the same days · 5 October to 18 October · daily highs in °C

Rain forecast by Open-Meteo (commercial licence) · fetched 5 October 2026 at 05:16 UTC · covering 14 days, 5 October to 18 October.

How rain reaches the river — the rules we use the stages, the half-lives and the 2003 warning behind every line above

How rain becomes a water level

A river responds to rain in stages. A nearby shower may matter less than rain far upstream.

  • Rain fallsWhere the rain lands matters as much as the total.
  • Ground takes a shareDry ground can hold most of the first rain.
  • Tributaries bring it downWater arrives from different Side rivers and streams that feed the main river at different times. at different times.
  • The gauge gets a pulseA A short rise that has travelled downstream after rain further up the river. can briefly raise the level at the gauge.
  • Baseflow settles itThe slow supply of stored water that keeps a river running between periods of rain. is the slower supply of stored water. It decides where the level settles.

Why winter rain often does more

Winter ground is usually wetter and cooler. Plants use less water then. Less water also evaporates. More of the same rain can reach the river. In high summer, dry soil and growing plants take more water first. Less water then flows over the land into the river.

What "half-life" means here

The How long half of an unusual water-level difference has historically taken to fade. is based on past records. It is the time for half the extra height above the usual seasonal level to fade. It describes persistence, not how many centimetres a storm will add.

Estimated half-life of unusual levels at eligible route gauges
GaugeWinter-runoff blockSummer-recession block
Pfelling 17.3 daysdrift_params.json → PFELLING.blocks[winter_runoff].half_life_days 15.6 daysdrift_params.json → PFELLING.blocks[summer_recession].half_life_days
Hofkirchen 20.2 daysdrift_params.json → HOFKIRCHEN.blocks[winter_runoff].half_life_days 18.7 daysdrift_params.json → HOFKIRCHEN.blocks[summer_recession].half_life_days
Kaub 32.7 daysdrift_params.json → KAUB.blocks[winter_runoff].half_life_days 55.3 daysdrift_params.json → KAUB.blocks[summer_recession].half_life_days
Cologne 31.1 daysdrift_params.json → KOELN.blocks[winter_runoff].half_life_days 58.0 daysdrift_params.json → KOELN.blocks[summer_recession].half_life_days

Read the difference carefully. A longer summer value at the Rhine gauges does not mean summer rain adds more water. It means an unusual measured level faded more slowly in that set of calendar dates. The block names come from the parameter file; they are not weather seasons or a rain-to-level formula.

Rules of thumb

Use these to read a wet outlook — not to predict a sailing-day level.

  1. After a long dry period, the first roughly 10 mm may mainly soak the soil. Do not expect much change at the gauge before that.

    Source: waterlogged/rain_explainer.py → transfer_function.soil_absorption_first_mm.value_mm = 10; explicitly qualitative, not a fitted gauge coefficient.

  2. Look downstream after about 1 day Basel–Maxau, 1–1½ days Maxau–Kaub and ½–1 day Kaub–Cologne; Austrian Danube events spanned 60–118 hours, so there is no honest fixed Danube clock.

    Sources: docs/council_alignment/lens_hydrology.md gives Rhine flood-wave and falling-water travel times. docs/climate_evidence_wide_signals.md gives the "Travel time & Alpine share" event range and the no-fixed-lag rule.

  3. A routed rain pulse can briefly raise a gauge. Baseflow is the slower supply of stored water. It decides where the level settles.

    Source: waterlogged/rain_explainer.py gives the wording about a rain pulse in each season. The figures in the table above are the fitted half_life_days from drift_params.json.

That is the calculation you have just read. The licence turns this panel from a list of links into a daily reading. It still stops where the evidence stops.

Rainfall forecast is provided by a commercial forecast service. Waterlogged reports on how an amount of rainfall has historically affected the water level. This historical information is provided for illustrative reasons and should not be used for any prediction.

Rain is context, not a prediction of a river level. Nothing on this page turns millimetres of rain into centimetres at a gauge, and no status anywhere on this page moves because rain is forecast.

The official services we link to forecast the water level at a gauge. That is not a promised depth of water under your ship, and none of them publishes one.

Weather data comes from a licensed provider. Weather data by Open-Meteo (commercial licence)

How to read every number on this page

The numbers on this page stay free.

You are not paying for anything. The daily update — which includes a river companion on your sailing — is free to your inbox.

If you want us to read this sailing every morning and send it to your inbox, the Daily River Log Watch is free for your sailing. Nothing to pay, nothing renews. The last morning is the morning after you leave the ship.

Get the mornings — free

What you will receive

The Daily River Log Watch — free for this sailing

Every morning until the morning after you leave the ship: the reading on the gauge that governs your stretch, what changed overnight, and the river companion — the story of the water you are sailing on. Free.

Keep my email for this sailing only, so Waterlogged can send me the Daily River Log Watch for it each morning, free, until the morning after the sailing ends. No marketing and no sale of my address. Stop any time by replying stop, or delete my address on request; it is deleted no later than 180 days after the scheduled sailing. Privacy details: /privacy.

Do not see your sailing? We do not report cancelled sailings. Tell us which sailing we are missing and we will add it. You can also email info@rivercruisewatch.com with the cruise line, the ship and the dates.

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Day 2 · Breisach

Open the official projection.

Your call here is 52 days away — beyond the daily forecast

BfG six-week outlook for Maxau — likely ranges for each week
Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG).

Nothing published today can tell you the level on 26 November. Germany's federal hydrology institute. It publishes the official water-level forecasts and outlooks.'s daily forecast only reaches fourteen days ahead. Your call here is 52 days away. We have picked the product that does reach it, so you do not have to.

That product is BfG's six-week outlook. It is not a daily prediction. It shows likely ranges for each week. Each range is where that week's level is expected to fall, with the odds attached. The ranges come from many past-weather what-if runs, not from a single-line prediction.

The button below opens Maxau's own sheet directly. Find the week beginning 23 November.

From 12 November, this port will be fourteen days away. The daily forecast will then reach your date, and this block will switch itself over to it.

How to read it

The official document is in German. Both choices below explain the same product.

BfG's own FAQ on the six-week bands (PDF, German)
English guide (unofficial)

English guide (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

What this document is. BfG runs the river model many times over. Each run uses a different possible weather sequence taken from the historical record. The chart shades in the spread of those runs. It answers "where is this gauge likely to sit", not "what will it read on Thursday".

How the chart is laid out. Time runs left to right in weeks, not days. The upright scale is centimetres at Maxau's own The fixed zero point for a gauge's centimetre scale. It can sit above the riverbed..

What the shaded bands mean. Each band covers a share of those model runs. A wide band means the runs disagree and the week is genuinely open. A narrow band means they agree. The band is the answer — the middle of it is not a prediction.

What to do with it. Find the week beginning 23 November and read the whole band rather than the middle of it.

What it cannot do. It cannot tell you a date, it cannot tell you whether your cruise line will sail, and a weekly average can hide days that sit well below it.

Written by Waterlogged in our own words to explain how the official product works. It is not a translation of it, it has no authority, and where the two differ the German original governs.

Open that FAQ in Google Translate ↗ Machine translation (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

We checked the direct links on 3–4 August 2026 (docs/bfg_deep_links.md). Waterlogged never re-dates or re-scores the authority's product. Where BfG has given us permission to show their figures, they are on this page above, under BfG's name and with BfG's own issue stamp; everything else here is a link to the authority's page.

Day 3 · Kehl - Strasbourg

Open the official projection.

Your call here is 53 days away — beyond the daily forecast

BfG six-week outlook for Maxau — likely ranges for each week
Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG).

Nothing published today can tell you the level on 27 November. Germany's federal hydrology institute. It publishes the official water-level forecasts and outlooks.'s daily forecast only reaches fourteen days ahead. Your call here is 53 days away. We have picked the product that does reach it, so you do not have to.

That product is BfG's six-week outlook. It is not a daily prediction. It shows likely ranges for each week. Each range is where that week's level is expected to fall, with the odds attached. The ranges come from many past-weather what-if runs, not from a single-line prediction.

The button below opens Maxau's own sheet directly. Find the week beginning 23 November.

From 13 November, this port will be fourteen days away. The daily forecast will then reach your date, and this block will switch itself over to it.

How to read it

The official document is in German. Both choices below explain the same product.

BfG's own FAQ on the six-week bands (PDF, German)
English guide (unofficial)

English guide (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

What this document is. BfG runs the river model many times over. Each run uses a different possible weather sequence taken from the historical record. The chart shades in the spread of those runs. It answers "where is this gauge likely to sit", not "what will it read on Thursday".

How the chart is laid out. Time runs left to right in weeks, not days. The upright scale is centimetres at Maxau's own The fixed zero point for a gauge's centimetre scale. It can sit above the riverbed..

What the shaded bands mean. Each band covers a share of those model runs. A wide band means the runs disagree and the week is genuinely open. A narrow band means they agree. The band is the answer — the middle of it is not a prediction.

What to do with it. Find the week beginning 23 November and read the whole band rather than the middle of it.

What it cannot do. It cannot tell you a date, it cannot tell you whether your cruise line will sail, and a weekly average can hide days that sit well below it.

Written by Waterlogged in our own words to explain how the official product works. It is not a translation of it, it has no authority, and where the two differ the German original governs.

Open that FAQ in Google Translate ↗ Machine translation (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

We checked the direct links on 3–4 August 2026 (docs/bfg_deep_links.md). Waterlogged never re-dates or re-scores the authority's product. Where BfG has given us permission to show their figures, they are on this page above, under BfG's name and with BfG's own issue stamp; everything else here is a link to the authority's page.

Day 4 · Mannheim

Open the official projection.

Your call here is 54 days away — beyond the daily forecast

BfG six-week outlook for Maxau — likely ranges for each week
Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG).

Nothing published today can tell you the level on 28 November. Germany's federal hydrology institute. It publishes the official water-level forecasts and outlooks.'s daily forecast only reaches fourteen days ahead. Your call here is 54 days away. We have picked the product that does reach it, so you do not have to.

That product is BfG's six-week outlook. It is not a daily prediction. It shows likely ranges for each week. Each range is where that week's level is expected to fall, with the odds attached. The ranges come from many past-weather what-if runs, not from a single-line prediction.

The button below opens Maxau's own sheet directly. Find the week beginning 23 November.

From 14 November, this port will be fourteen days away. The daily forecast will then reach your date, and this block will switch itself over to it.

How to read it

The official document is in German. Both choices below explain the same product.

BfG's own FAQ on the six-week bands (PDF, German)
English guide (unofficial)

English guide (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

What this document is. BfG runs the river model many times over. Each run uses a different possible weather sequence taken from the historical record. The chart shades in the spread of those runs. It answers "where is this gauge likely to sit", not "what will it read on Thursday".

How the chart is laid out. Time runs left to right in weeks, not days. The upright scale is centimetres at Maxau's own The fixed zero point for a gauge's centimetre scale. It can sit above the riverbed..

What the shaded bands mean. Each band covers a share of those model runs. A wide band means the runs disagree and the week is genuinely open. A narrow band means they agree. The band is the answer — the middle of it is not a prediction.

What to do with it. Find the week beginning 23 November and read the whole band rather than the middle of it.

What it cannot do. It cannot tell you a date, it cannot tell you whether your cruise line will sail, and a weekly average can hide days that sit well below it.

Written by Waterlogged in our own words to explain how the official product works. It is not a translation of it, it has no authority, and where the two differ the German original governs.

Open that FAQ in Google Translate ↗ Machine translation (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

We checked the direct links on 3–4 August 2026 (docs/bfg_deep_links.md). Waterlogged never re-dates or re-scores the authority's product. Where BfG has given us permission to show their figures, they are on this page above, under BfG's name and with BfG's own issue stamp; everything else here is a link to the authority's page.

Day 5 · Koblenz

Open the official projection.

Your call here is 55 days away — beyond the daily forecast

BfG six-week outlook for Kaub — likely ranges for each week
Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG).

Nothing published today can tell you the level on 29 November. Germany's federal hydrology institute. It publishes the official water-level forecasts and outlooks.'s daily forecast only reaches fourteen days ahead. Your call here is 55 days away. We have picked the product that does reach it, so you do not have to.

That product is BfG's six-week outlook. It is not a daily prediction. It shows likely ranges for each week. Each range is where that week's level is expected to fall, with the odds attached. The ranges come from many past-weather what-if runs, not from a single-line prediction.

The button below opens Kaub's own sheet directly. Find the week beginning 23 November. Then read which band it sits in against the How we calculate ship needWaterlogged estimates that a river needs to be 2.05m in depth to be navigable by river cruises. A river cruise ship has a draft of approximately 1.60m and we add an additional 0.45m above this. This number is not from official cruise line reports. Ships with smaller drafts or special permission may be able to sail in less water. The figure on the page beside this note is a gauge level, and a gauge level is the height of the water at one measuring station, read from that station's own zero. It is not the depth of the navigable channel, it is not the room left under a ship's keel, and it is not a ship's draft. Our line is a level we compare today's reading with. It is not a depth anybody has measured under your ship. line on this page.

From 15 November, this port will be fourteen days away. The daily forecast will then reach your date, and this block will switch itself over to it.

How to read it

The official document is in German. Both choices below explain the same product.

BfG's own FAQ on the six-week bands (PDF, German)
English guide (unofficial)

English guide (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

What this document is. BfG runs the river model many times over. Each run uses a different possible weather sequence taken from the historical record. The chart shades in the spread of those runs. It answers "where is this gauge likely to sit", not "what will it read on Thursday".

How the chart is laid out. Time runs left to right in weeks, not days. The upright scale is centimetres at Kaub's own The fixed zero point for a gauge's centimetre scale. It can sit above the riverbed.. This page uses the same scale, so 93 cm means the same thing on both.

What the shaded bands mean. Each band covers a share of those model runs. A wide band means the runs disagree and the week is genuinely open. A narrow band means they agree. The band is the answer — the middle of it is not a prediction.

What to do with it. Find the week beginning 23 November. If the whole band sits below 93 cm, the outlook for your week is uniformly short. If 93 cm falls inside the band, the honest answer is that nobody knows yet. If the whole band sits above 93 cm, the outlook is comfortable — which still is not a promise about your afternoon.

What it cannot do. It cannot tell you a date, it cannot tell you whether your cruise line will sail, and a weekly average can hide days that sit well below it.

Written by Waterlogged in our own words to explain how the official product works. It is not a translation of it, it has no authority, and where the two differ the German original governs.

Open that FAQ in Google Translate ↗ Machine translation (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

We checked the direct links on 3–4 August 2026 (docs/bfg_deep_links.md). Waterlogged never re-dates or re-scores the authority's product. Where BfG has given us permission to show their figures, they are on this page above, under BfG's name and with BfG's own issue stamp; everything else here is a link to the authority's page.

Day 6 · Cologne - Duesseldorf

Open the official projection.

Your call here is 56 days away — beyond the daily forecast

BfG six-week outlook for Köln — likely ranges for each week
Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG).

Nothing published today can tell you the level on 30 November. Germany's federal hydrology institute. It publishes the official water-level forecasts and outlooks.'s daily forecast only reaches fourteen days ahead. Your call here is 56 days away. We have picked the product that does reach it, so you do not have to.

That product is BfG's six-week outlook. It is not a daily prediction. It shows likely ranges for each week. Each range is where that week's level is expected to fall, with the odds attached. The ranges come from many past-weather what-if runs, not from a single-line prediction.

The button below opens Köln's own sheet directly. Find the week beginning 30 November. Then read which band it sits in against the 139 cm line on this page.

From 16 November, this port will be fourteen days away. The daily forecast will then reach your date, and this block will switch itself over to it.

How to read it

The official document is in German. Both choices below explain the same product.

BfG's own FAQ on the six-week bands (PDF, German)
English guide (unofficial)

English guide (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

What this document is. BfG runs the river model many times over. Each run uses a different possible weather sequence taken from the historical record. The chart shades in the spread of those runs. It answers "where is this gauge likely to sit", not "what will it read on Thursday".

How the chart is laid out. Time runs left to right in weeks, not days. The upright scale is centimetres at Köln's own The fixed zero point for a gauge's centimetre scale. It can sit above the riverbed.. This page uses the same scale, so 139 cm means the same thing on both.

What the shaded bands mean. Each band covers a share of those model runs. A wide band means the runs disagree and the week is genuinely open. A narrow band means they agree. The band is the answer — the middle of it is not a prediction.

What to do with it. Find the week beginning 30 November. If the whole band sits below 139 cm, the outlook for your week is uniformly short. If 139 cm falls inside the band, the honest answer is that nobody knows yet. If the whole band sits above 139 cm, the outlook is comfortable — which still is not a promise about your afternoon.

What it cannot do. It cannot tell you a date, it cannot tell you whether your cruise line will sail, and a weekly average can hide days that sit well below it.

Written by Waterlogged in our own words to explain how the official product works. It is not a translation of it, it has no authority, and where the two differ the German original governs.

Open that FAQ in Google Translate ↗ Machine translation (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

We checked the direct links on 3–4 August 2026 (docs/bfg_deep_links.md). Waterlogged never re-dates or re-scores the authority's product. Where BfG has given us permission to show their figures, they are on this page above, under BfG's name and with BfG's own issue stamp; everything else here is a link to the authority's page.

Day 7–8 · Amsterdam

Open the official projection.

Your call here is 57 days away — beyond the daily forecast

BfG six-week outlook for Köln — likely ranges for each week
Published by Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (BfG).

Nothing published today can tell you the level on 1 December. Germany's federal hydrology institute. It publishes the official water-level forecasts and outlooks.'s daily forecast only reaches fourteen days ahead. Your call here is 57 days away. We have picked the product that does reach it, so you do not have to.

That product is BfG's six-week outlook. It is not a daily prediction. It shows likely ranges for each week. Each range is where that week's level is expected to fall, with the odds attached. The ranges come from many past-weather what-if runs, not from a single-line prediction.

The button below opens Köln's own sheet directly. Find the week beginning 30 November. Then read which band it sits in against the 139 cm line on this page.

From 17 November, this port will be fourteen days away. The daily forecast will then reach your date, and this block will switch itself over to it.

How to read it

The official document is in German. Both choices below explain the same product.

BfG's own FAQ on the six-week bands (PDF, German)
English guide (unofficial)

English guide (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

What this document is. BfG runs the river model many times over. Each run uses a different possible weather sequence taken from the historical record. The chart shades in the spread of those runs. It answers "where is this gauge likely to sit", not "what will it read on Thursday".

How the chart is laid out. Time runs left to right in weeks, not days. The upright scale is centimetres at Köln's own The fixed zero point for a gauge's centimetre scale. It can sit above the riverbed.. This page uses the same scale, so 139 cm means the same thing on both.

What the shaded bands mean. Each band covers a share of those model runs. A wide band means the runs disagree and the week is genuinely open. A narrow band means they agree. The band is the answer — the middle of it is not a prediction.

What to do with it. Find the week beginning 30 November. If the whole band sits below 139 cm, the outlook for your week is uniformly short. If 139 cm falls inside the band, the honest answer is that nobody knows yet. If the whole band sits above 139 cm, the outlook is comfortable — which still is not a promise about your afternoon.

What it cannot do. It cannot tell you a date, it cannot tell you whether your cruise line will sail, and a weekly average can hide days that sit well below it.

Written by Waterlogged in our own words to explain how the official product works. It is not a translation of it, it has no authority, and where the two differ the German original governs.

Open that FAQ in Google Translate ↗ Machine translation (unofficial) — only the German original is official.

We checked the direct links on 3–4 August 2026 (docs/bfg_deep_links.md). Waterlogged never re-dates or re-scores the authority's product. Where BfG has given us permission to show their figures, they are on this page above, under BfG's name and with BfG's own issue stamp; everything else here is a link to the authority's page.